International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Azadi Stadium
  • Mohammad Mohebi 76' goal
  • Ramin Rezaeian 84' goal
  • goal Michael Olunga 51'

Iran vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 5.00pm
Iran 1 - 1 Russia

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 1.00am
Kenya 0 - 0 Burundi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.18%) and 3-0 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Iran 74.54% (-0.01)
Draw 17.26% (+0.01)
Kenya 8.2% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.98% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.73% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 29.16% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.83% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.1% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.9% (+0.01)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 88.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 63.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 36.3% (+0.01)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 42.9% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 57.1% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 10.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 89.1% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Iran 74.53%
Draw 17.26%
Kenya 8.2%
Iran
2-0 @ 15.35%
1-0 @ 14.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.26%
Kenya
0-1 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.23%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 8.2%