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World Cup

Iran national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
USA national football team

Iran
0 - 1
USA

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pulisic (38')

The Match

Match Report

USA record a narrow 1-0 victory over Iran thanks to Christian Pulisic's first-half goal, which sets up a last 16 tie against the Netherlands.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Iran and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how USA could line up for Tuesday's World Cup clash with Iran at the Al Thumama Stadium.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Wales 0-2 Iran
Friday, November 25 at 10am in World Cup

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: England 0-0 USA
Friday, November 25 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Iran had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Iran win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match.

Result
IranDrawUSA
27.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.09% (0.012 0.01)46.88% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)53.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.07% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)34.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.56% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)56.55% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Iran 27.03%
    USA 46.88%
    Draw 26.08%
IranDrawUSA
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Iran vs USA

Iran
34.8%
Draw
19.3%
USA
45.8%
1257
rhs 2.0


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