Wales vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wales had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.