England vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Iran had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Iran win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.