Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
Iran	Draw	Nicaragua
58.52% ( 0.12)	23.16% ( -0.02)	18.32% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

-0.04)

50.67% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

-0.04)

72.58% (

0.04)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

0.03)

17.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

0.05)

47.17% (

-0.05)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

-0.13)

41.63% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89% (

-0.12)

78.11% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Iran 58.5%

Nicaragua 18.32%

Draw 23.15%

Iran	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 58.5%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.32%