International Friendlies
Nov 10, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Azadi Stadium
  • Mehdi Torabi 15' goal

Iran vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 3.30pm
Iran 1 - 1 Senegal

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.00pm
Nicaragua 0 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result

Iran 58.52% (+0.12)
Draw 23.16% (-0.03)
Nicaragua 18.32% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.67% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.42% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.58% (+0.04)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 82.97% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.03% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 52.83% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 47.17% (-0.05)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 58.37% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 41.63% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 21.89% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.11% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Iran 58.5%
Draw 23.15%
Nicaragua 18.32%
Iran
1-0 @ 12.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.1% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.15%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.32%