CONCACAF Nations League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbahlog.png)
-
Juan Barrera
19'
-
Jaime Moreno
34'
-
Jaime Moreno
45'
-
Ariagner Smith
74'
-
Evelt Julmis
15'
Nicaragua vs Bahamas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
Result
Nicaragua
52.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
24.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Bahamas
22.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
50.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.59%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
51.41%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
26.78%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
73.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5
80.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
19.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
48.85%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
51.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5
62.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
37.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
25.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
74.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Nicaragua
52.98%
Draw
24.59%
Bahamas
22.42%
Nicaragua
1-0
@
11.98%
2-0 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.98%
2-0 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.59%
Bahamas
0-1
@
7.12%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 22.42%