Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trinidad and Tobago in this match.