Bahamas national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Jun 10, 2022 at 10pm UK
New Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
Nicaragua national football team

Bahamas
0 - 2
Nicaragua


Joseph (31'), Mitchell (42'), Julmis (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreno (40'), Belli Moldskred (90+1')
Acevedo (9'), Nino (18')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bahamas and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua

Last Six:
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-2 Nicaragua
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
BahamasDrawNicaragua
42.89% (0.012 0.01)27.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)30% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)56.03% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.012 -0.01)77.12% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15%60.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)33.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)70.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 42.89%
    Nicaragua 30%
    Draw 27.11%
BahamasDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30%

How you voted: Bahamas vs Nicaragua

Bahamas
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Nicaragua
38.5%
13