CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 10, 2022 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT New Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
  • Marcel Joseph 31' yellowcard
  • Elijah Mitchell 42' yellowcard
  • Evelt Julmis 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Acevedo 9'
  • yellowcard Henry Nino 18'
  • goal Jaime Moreno 40'
  • goal Matias Belli Moldskred 90'+1'

Bahamas vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 3, 2022 10.00pm
Bahamas 1 - 0 St Vincent & Gr.

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 6, 2022 8.00pm
St Vincent & Gr. 2 - 2 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Bahamas 42.89% (+0.02)
Draw 27.11% (+0.01)
Nicaragua 30% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.88% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.12% (+0.02)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5 74.13%
Under 0.5 25.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.15%
Under 1.5 60.85% (+0.01)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 66.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.83% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bahamas 42.89%
Draw 27.11%
Nicaragua 30%
Bahamas
1-0 @ 11.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.11%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30%