Suriname national football team
International Friendly
Sep 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Nicaragua national football team

Suriname
2 - 1
Nicaragua

te Vrede (25'), Hilterman (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quijano (88')
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Suriname and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mexico 3-0 Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
SurinameDrawNicaragua
42.88% (0.057000000000002 0.06)26.91% (-0.152 -0.15)30.21% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.76% (0.502 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.619 0.62)55.17% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.51 0.51)76.41% (-0.503 -0.5)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.31100000000001 0.31)25.48% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.42 0.42)60.32% (-0.414 -0.41)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (0.401 0.4)33.22% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.438 0.44)69.83% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Suriname 42.88%
    Nicaragua 30.21%
    Draw 26.9%
SurinameDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.88%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Suriname vs Nicaragua

Suriname
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Nicaragua
71.4%
7