Wales vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Poland had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.