UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Millennium Stadium

Wales
0 - 1
Poland

FT(HT: 0-0)

Swiderski (58')

Reaction

Poland celebrate scoring against Wales in the UEFA Nations League on September 25, 2022.

Wales suffer UEFA Nations League relegation with Poland defeat

Wales are relegated to League B of the UEFA Nations League after suffering a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Poland on Sunday night.

Sep 25, 20:42

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Wales and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belgium 2-1 Wales
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	5	7	13
2	Belgium	5	4	10
3	Poland	5	-7	4
4	Wales	5	-4	1

Poland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Poland 0-2 Netherlands
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	5	7	13
2	Belgium	5	4	10
3	Poland	5	-7	4
4	Wales	5	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Poland had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Wales	Draw	Poland
38.98% ( -2.43)	26.19% ( 0.35)	34.83% ( 2.09)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

-1.04)

51.13% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03% (

-0.92)

72.97% (

0.92)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-1.74)

25.7% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

-2.43)

60.61% (

2.43)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

0.81)

28.09% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25% (

1.02)

63.75% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Wales 38.98%

Poland 34.83%

Draw 26.19%

Wales	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.98%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.83%