World Cup
Nov 25, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

England vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 21, 2022 1.00pm
England 6 - 2 Iran

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 21, 2022 7.00pm
USA 1 - 1 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for USA had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

England 44.11% (+1.05)
Draw 25.88% (-0.73)
USA 30.01% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.82% (+2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.81% (+2.77)
Under 2.5 51.18% (-2.78)
Over 3.5 26.97% (+2.38)
Under 3.5 73.02% (-2.38)

England Goals

Over 0.5 76.88% (+1.73)
Under 0.5 23.11% (-1.74)
Over 1.5 43.03% (+2.47)
Under 1.5 56.96% (-2.48)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (+1.20)
Under 0.5 31.3% (-1.20)
Over 1.5 32.34% (+1.37)
Under 1.5 67.66% (-1.38)

Score analysis

England 44.1%
Draw 25.87%
USA 30.01%
England
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.66)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 1.61% (+0.19)
4-0 @ 1.39% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 44.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.84)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.30)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.87%
USA
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.68)
1-2 @ 7.15% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 15, 2018 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley
  • Jesse Lingard 26' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 27' goal
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
World Cup
Jun 12, 2010 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Royal Bafokeng Stadium
  • Steven Gerrard 4' goal
  • goal Clint Dempsey 40'

Build-up

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