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Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
 
Burundi national football team

Kenya
P-P
Burundi

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Kenya and Burundi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result
KenyaDrawBurundi
52.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)23.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)46.79% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)48.71% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.038 0.04)70.38% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 52.18%
    Burundi 23.97%
    Draw 23.84%
KenyaDrawBurundi
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.97%