Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 18, 2022 11.00pm

Kenya vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 2.00pm
Kenya 0 - 0 Namibia

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 2.00pm
Burundi 0 - 1 Cameroon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Kenya 52.18% (-0.02)
Draw 23.84% (-0.01)
Burundi 23.97% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.4% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.79% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.95% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.05% (-0.04)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 82.09% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.91% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.71% (-0.02)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 66.27% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.73% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.38% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Kenya 52.18%
Draw 23.84%
Burundi 23.97%
Kenya
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.84%
Burundi
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.97%