Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Burundi
0 - 1
Cameroon

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toko Ekambi (30')
Toko Ekambi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burundi and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

Last Six:

Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Cameroon
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Burundi vs. Namibia
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Cameroon

Last Six:

Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Cameroon
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Cameroon vs. Namibia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Burundi win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Cameroon
29.13% ( -1.16)	23.86% ( 0.09)	47.01% ( 1.07)

Both teams to score 59.02% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.17% (

-1.07)

42.83% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.77% (

-1.07)

65.23% (

1.08)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

-1.3)

27.67% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

-1.71)

63.22% (

1.71)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6% (

0.01)

18.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

0.02)

49.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Burundi 29.13%

Cameroon 47.01%

Draw 23.86%

Burundi	Draw	Cameroon
2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.13%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.01%