Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Karl Toko Ekambi
30'
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Karl Toko Ekambi
63'
Burundi vs Cameroon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Burundi win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
Result
Burundi
29.13%
▼
(-1.16)
Draw
23.86%
▲
(+0.10)
Cameroon
47.01%
▲
(+1.07)
Both Teams to Score:
59.02%
▼
(-1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.17%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 2.5
42.83%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 3.5
34.77%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 3.5
65.23%
▲
(+1.08)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5
72.33%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 0.5
27.67%
▲
(+1.31)
Over 1.5
36.78%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 1.5
63.22%
▲
(+1.72)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5
81.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
18.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
50.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
49.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Burundi
29.13%
Draw
23.86%
Cameroon
47.01%
Burundi
2-1
@
7.11%
▼
(-0.19)
1-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 29.13%
1-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 29.13%
Draw
1-1
@
11.07%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.86%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.86%
Cameroon
1-2
@
9.37%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.41)
0-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.35)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 47.01%
0-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.41)
0-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.35)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 47.01%