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Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2022 at 11pm UK
 
Kenya national football team

Burundi
P-P
Kenya

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Burundi and Kenya.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%).

Result
BurundiDrawKenya
35.81% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)27.18% (0.0010000000000012 0)37.01% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)65.41% (0.012 0.01)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burundi 35.8%
    Kenya 37.01%
    Draw 27.17%
BurundiDrawKenya
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.01%

rhs 2.0


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