Kenya national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Nyayo National Stadium
Burundi national football team

Kenya
P-P
Burundi

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Kenya and Burundi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

Last Game: Kenya 2-1 Rwanda
Monday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Kenya vs. Burundi
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in International Friendlies

Burundi

All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Burundi
Wednesday, November 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Kenya vs. Burundi
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (7.98%).

Result
KenyaDrawBurundi
55.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02)26.47% (-0.012 -0.01)18.02% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45% (0.026000000000003 0.03)62.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)82.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)56.57% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04% (0.004999999999999 0)83.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 55.5%
    Burundi 18.02%
    Draw 26.46%
KenyaDrawBurundi
1-0 @ 16.53%
2-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.5%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.02%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023
12am
Friendlies 1
Kenya  
vs.
B
   Burundi
Sep 26, 2022 11pm
Burundi
P-P
Kenya
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
Kenya
P-P
Burundi