International Friendlies
Jun 14, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Punjab Stadium
  • Moses Shummah 18' goal

Kenya vs Pakistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 3.30pm
Kenya 0 - 0 Djibouti

Pakistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.

Result

Kenya 51.67% (+0.10)
Draw 28.35% (-0.04)
Pakistan 19.98% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.77% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.87% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 66.12% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 15.33% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 84.67% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 5.79% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 94.21% (-0.03)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 73.82% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.18% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.74% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.26% (-0.10)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5 51.16% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 48.83% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 16.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.84% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Kenya 51.66%
Draw 28.34%
Pakistan 19.98%
Kenya
1-0 @ 17.13%
2-0 @ 11.48% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 51.66%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.78% (-0.04)
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.34%
Pakistan
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.98%