Friendlies 1

Jun 14, 2023 at 12pm UK

Punjab Stadium

Kenya
1 - 0
Pakistan

Shummah (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Kenya and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Iran 2-1 Kenya
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Pakistan

Last Game: Mauritius 3-0 Pakistan
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Pakistan
51.67% ( 0.09)	28.35% ( -0.04)	19.98% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 37.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.87% (

0.06)

66.12% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.33% (

0.04)

84.67% (

-0.04)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.07)

26.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

0.1)

61.26% (

-0.1)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.16% (

-0.02)

48.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.16% (

-0.01)

83.84% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Kenya 51.66%

Pakistan 19.98%

Draw 28.34%

Kenya	Draw	Pakistan
1-0 @ 17.13% 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 51.66%	0-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.98%