Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakistan win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mauritius would win this match.