International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2022 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dashrath Rangasala
  • Anjan Bista 82' goal

Nepal vs Pakistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 12.45pm
Nepal 3 - 1 Bangladesh

Pakistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.

Result

Nepal 68.41% (-0.02)
Draw 18.5% (+0.01)
Pakistan 13.09% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.47% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 37.15% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.85% (-0.01)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5 89.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 10.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 65.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 34.85% (+0.01)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.76% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nepal 68.39%
Draw 18.5%
Pakistan 13.09%
Nepal
2-0 @ 11.33% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22%
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 68.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.5%
Pakistan
0-1 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 13.09%