Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.