Nepal vs Bangladesh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.