Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.