Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for East Timor had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest East Timor win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambodia in this match.