Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 79.82%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.89%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (2.53%).