Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.