Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Victor Osimhen
13'
-
Ademola Lookman
27'
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
51'
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Victor Osimhen
69'
-
Victor Osimhen
79'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
84'
-
Adjakson Soares Vaz Ramos
11'
Nigeria vs Sao Tome & Principe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 90.19%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 2.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 4-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
Result
Nigeria
90.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
7.51%
▲
(+0.16)
Sao Tome & Principe
2.3%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
31.3%
▼
(-1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.55%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 2.5
30.45%
▲
(+1.49)
Over 3.5
48.27%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 3.5
51.74%
▲
(+1.80)
Over 4.5
29.17%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 4.5
70.84%
▲
(+1.64)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
95.91%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
4.1%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
82.81%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 1.5
17.19%
▲
(+0.80)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5
32.64%
▼
(-1.52)
Under 0.5
67.36%
▲
(+1.52)
Over 1.5
6.02%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 1.5
93.98%
▲
(+0.63)
Score analysis
Nigeria
90.18%
Draw
7.51%
Sao Tome & Principe
2.3%
Nigeria
3-0
@
15%
▲
(+0.42)
2-0 @ 14.08% ▲ (+0.65)
4-0 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.57)
5-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.24)
6-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.22)
7-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
6-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 90.18%
2-0 @ 14.08% ▲ (+0.65)
4-0 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.57)
5-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.24)
6-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.22)
7-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
6-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 90.18%
Draw
1-1
@
3.48%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 7.51%
0-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 7.51%
Sao Tome & Principe
0-1
@
1.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 2.3%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 2.3%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
Victor Osimhen
9'
-
Moses Simon
28'
-
Terem Moffi
43'
-
Victor Osimhen
48'
-
Peter Etebo
55'
-
Ola Aina
58'
-
Terem Moffi
60'
-
Ademola Lookman
63'
-
Victor Osimhen
65'
-
Victor Osimhen
84'
-
Emmanuel Dennis
90'+2'