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Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Sierra Leone
2 - 2
Sao Tome

Bundu (48'), Komeh (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Leal dos Anjos (43', 59')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Last Game: Djibouti 1-2 Sierra Leone
Sunday, October 12 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 1-0 Malawi
Monday, October 13 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawSao Tome & Principe
79.61% (-0.294 -0.29)13.89% (0.333 0.33)6.5% (-0.0421 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-1.533 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.869 -1.87)39.9% (1.866 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.964 -1.96)62.26% (1.961 1.96)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01% (-0.48299999999999 -0.48)7.99% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.82% (-1.232 -1.23)28.18% (1.229 1.23)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.18% (-1.428 -1.43)55.81% (1.424 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.63% (-0.852 -0.85)88.36% (0.84899999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 79.6%
    Sao Tome & Principe 6.5%
    Draw 13.89%
Sierra LeoneDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 14.23% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 11.99% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.42% (-0.238 -0.24)
5-0 @ 3.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 79.6%
1-1 @ 6.57% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 13.89%
0-1 @ 2.6% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 1.92% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 6.5%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Sao Tome

Sierra Leone
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
14