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Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Sierra Leone
2 - 2
Sao Tome

Bundu (48'), Komeh (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Leal dos Anjos (43', 59')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 3-0 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawSao Tome & Principe
79.61% (-0.294 -0.29)13.89% (0.333 0.33)6.5% (-0.0421 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-1.533 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.869 -1.87)39.9% (1.866 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.964 -1.96)62.26% (1.961 1.96)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01% (-0.48299999999999 -0.48)7.99% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.82% (-1.232 -1.23)28.18% (1.229 1.23)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.18% (-1.428 -1.43)55.81% (1.424 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.63% (-0.852 -0.85)88.36% (0.84899999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 79.6%
    Sao Tome & Principe 6.5%
    Draw 13.89%
Sierra LeoneDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 14.23% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 11.99% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.42% (-0.238 -0.24)
5-0 @ 3.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 79.6%
1-1 @ 6.57% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 13.89%
0-1 @ 2.6% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 1.92% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 6.5%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Sao Tome

Sierra Leone
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
14