World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 25, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Ahmed Sayed 45'+2' goal
  • Marwan Attia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abu Dumbuya 13'

Egypt vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 9.00pm
Ethiopia 0 - 2 Egypt

Sierra Leone

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 4.00pm
Sierra Leone 3 - 1 Guinea-Bissau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result

Egypt 69.07% (-0.74)
Draw 18.86% (+0.45)
Sierra Leone 12.07% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.41% (-1.23)
Under 2.5 44.59% (+1.23)
Over 3.5 33.04% (-1.21)
Under 3.5 66.96% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 16.82% (-0.88)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.88)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 88.2% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 11.79% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 62.99% (-1.19)
Under 1.5 37% (+1.18)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 53.35% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 46.65% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 17.78% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 82.22% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Egypt 69.05%
Draw 18.86%
Sierra Leone 12.07%
Egypt
2-0 @ 12.56% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 11.75% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.96% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 4.79% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 69.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 5.5% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.86%
Sierra Leone
0-1 @ 4.2% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 3.42% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.6% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 12.07%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 19, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
  • Tyrese Fornah 38' redcard
  • Tyrese Fornah 48' yellowcard
  • Abdul Kabia 90'+9' redcard
  • goal Trezeguet 18'
  • yellowcard Hamdi Fathi 55'
  • goal Trezeguet 62'