Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.