World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
1 - 0
Sierra Leone

Sayed (45+2')
Attia (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dumbuya (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Sierra Leone

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Sierra Leone
69.07% ( -0.73)	18.86% ( 0.44)	12.07% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

-1.23)

44.59% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

-1.2)

66.96% (

1.2)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

-0.55)

11.79% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

-1.18)

37% (

1.18)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

-0.29)

46.65% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

-0.22)

82.22% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Egypt 69.05%

Sierra Leone 12.07%

Draw 18.86%

Egypt	Draw	Sierra Leone
2-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.33% Total : 69.05%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.86%	0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.07%