Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Ivory Coast
Oct 11, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Laurent Pokou Stadium
Sierra Leone
  • Nicolas Pepe 3' goal
  • Franck Kessie 51' goal
  • Franck Kessie 75' goal
  • Benie Traore 83' yellowcard
  • Oumar Diakite 87' goal
  • goal Alhassan Koroma 43'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Fornah 57'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Nbalie Kamara 75'
  • yellowcard Hamed Traore 83'

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Chad 0 - 2 Ivory Coast

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Zambia 3 - 2 Sierra Leone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 81.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 5.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.38%) and 1-0 (12.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 81.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 13.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Sierra Leone 5.08% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.12% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.63% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.29% ▲ (+0.11)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 91.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 8.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 71.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.97% ▲ (+0.07)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 37.22% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 62.78% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 7.99% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 92% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 81.66%
Draw 13.24%
Sierra Leone 5.08%
Ivory Coast
2-0 @ 16.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 13.38% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.97% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 81.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.24%
Sierra Leone
0-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 5.08%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Ivory Coast
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Al Salam Stadium
Sierra Leone
  • Ousmane Diomande 18' goal
  • Franck Kessie 36' goal
  • Jonathan Bamba 38' goal
  • Jeremie Boga 48' goal
  • Oumar Diakite 81' yellowcard
  • Jean Thierry Lazare 84' goal
  • yellowcard Abu Dumbuya 57'
  • yellowcard Santigie Koroma 65'
  • goal Rodney Michael 86'
Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast
Jan 16, 2022 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Sierra Leone
  • Sebastien Haller 25' goal
  • Nicolas Pepe 65' goal
  • yellowcard Osman Kakay 52'
  • goal Musa Kamara 55'
  • goal Alhaji Kamara 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alhaji Kamara 90'+5'

Form Data

Chad 0 - 2 Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Zambia
Kenya 0 - 0 Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Gabon
Ivory Coast 2 - 1 Uruguay
Ivory Coast 2 - 2 Benin
Zambia 3 - 2 Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone 0 - 0 Chad
Burkina Faso 2 - 2 Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone 2 - 1 Djibouti
Morocco 3 - 1 Sierra Leone
Ivory Coast 5 - 1 Sierra Leone