World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Curtis Davies
12'
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Augustus Kargbo
51'
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Gabriel Dadzie
35'
Sierra Leone vs Djibouti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.
Result
Sierra Leone
66.55%
▼
(-2.12)
Draw
19.24%
▲
(+0.78)
Djibouti
14.2%
▲
(+1.33)
Both Teams to Score:
51.98%
▲
(+1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.71%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
41.28%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 3.5
36.31%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 3.5
63.68%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 4.5
19.26%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
80.74%
▲
(+0.39)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5
88.47%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
11.52%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 1.5
63.57%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 1.5
36.42%
▲
(+1.52)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5
58.75%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 0.5
41.24%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 1.5
22.22%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 1.5
77.77%
▼
(-1.45)
Score analysis
Sierra Leone
66.53%
Draw
19.24%
Djibouti
14.2%
Sierra Leone
2-0
@
11.09%
▼
(-0.40)
1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.52)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.42)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.24)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 66.53%
1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.52)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.42)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.24)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 66.53%
Draw
1-1
@
9.1%
▲
(+0.36)
0-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 19.24%
0-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 19.24%
Djibouti
0-1
@
4.21%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.2%
1-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.2%