World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Sierra Leone
0 - 2
Egypt

Fornah (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Trezeguet (18', 62')
Fathi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sierra Leone and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Egypt
26.93% ( -0.64)	27.52% ( 0.01)	45.55% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14% (

-0.36)

58.86% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.28)

79.36% (

0.28)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22% (

-0.74)

37.78% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

-0.72)

74.56% (

0.72)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.15)

25.8% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.21)

60.76% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 26.93%

Egypt 45.54%

Draw 27.51%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.93%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.54%