World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 19, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
  • Tyrese Fornah 38' redcard
  • Tyrese Fornah 48' yellowcard
  • Abdul Kabia 90'+9' redcard
  • goal Trezeguet 18'
  • yellowcard Hamdi Fathi 55'
  • goal Trezeguet 62'

Sierra Leone vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 15, 2023 7.00pm
Ethiopia 0 - 0 Sierra Leone

Egypt

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 4.00pm
Egypt 6 - 0 Djibouti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result

Sierra Leone 26.93% (-0.65)
Draw 27.52% (+0.02)
Egypt 45.55% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.16% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.14% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 58.86% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 20.64% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 79.36% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 8.71% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 91.29% (+0.17)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 62.22% (-0.74)
Under 0.5 37.78% (+0.74)
Over 1.5 25.44% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 74.56% (+0.73)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.8% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 39.24% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 60.76% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Sierra Leone 26.93%
Draw 27.51%
Egypt 45.54%
Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.51%
Egypt
0-1 @ 13.2% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 8.95% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 8.71% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.04% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.37% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45.54%