Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.