Egypt national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Tunisia national football team

Egypt
1 - 3
Tunisia

Kamal (34')
Marmoush (43'), Ramadan (70'), Adel (85'), Mohamed (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laidouni (3'), Fathi (8' og.), Rafia (90+5')
Laidouni (43'), Meriah (45+5'), Dahmen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Egypt and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Botswana
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
EgyptDrawTunisia
69.46% (0.078999999999994 0.08)19.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)10.67% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 39.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (0.091999999999999 0.09)52.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (0.079000000000001 0.08)73.9% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (0.054000000000002 0.05)13.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (0.105 0.1)41.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.05% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)53.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)87.24% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 69.46%
    Tunisia 10.67%
    Draw 19.86%
EgyptDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 14.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 14.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.58% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 69.46%
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.67%

How you voted: Egypt vs Tunisia

Egypt
60.0%
Draw
17.1%
Tunisia
22.9%
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