Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Guinea
1 - 2
Egypt

Guirassy (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Trezeguet (42'), Mohamed (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-3 Guinea
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Egypt in this match.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Egypt
54.31% ( 0.01)	28.24% ( 0)	17.45% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 34.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.98% (

-0.01)

68.02% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.05% (

-0.01)

85.95% (

0.01)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0)

25.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.01)

60.8% (

0.01)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.93% (

-0.02)

53.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.31% (

-0.01)

86.69% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Guinea 54.29%

Egypt 17.45%

Draw 28.23%

Guinea	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 18.55% 2-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 54.29%	0-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.45%