Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 14, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Marrakech
  • Serhou Guirassy 26' goal
  • goal Trezeguet 42'
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 79'

Guinea vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 8.00pm
Ethiopia 2 - 3 Guinea

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 2.00pm
Malawi 0 - 4 Egypt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Egypt in this match.

Result

Guinea 54.31% (+0.01)
Draw 28.24% (+0.01)
Egypt 17.45% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.8% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 31.98% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 68.02% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.95% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 5.15% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 94.85% (+0.01)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 74.16% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.8% (+0.01)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 46.93% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 53.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 13.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.69% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Guinea 54.29%
Draw 28.23%
Egypt 17.45%
Guinea
1-0 @ 18.55%
2-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 54.29%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.71% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 28.23%
Egypt
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Hamdi Fathi 78' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 87' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Diawara 29'
  • yellowcard Aguibou Camara 55'
International Friendlies
Jun 16, 2019 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marwan Mohsen 11' goal
  • Ahmed Ali 77' goal
  • Ayman Ashraf 79' yellowcard
  • Omar Gaber 86' goal
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 29'
  • yellowcard Ernest Seka 59'
  • goal Sory Kaba 63'
  • yellowcard Amadou Diawara 87'