Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Egypt in this match.