Malawi vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.