Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK

Malawi
0 - 4
Egypt

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hamed (4'), Marmoush (16'), Salah (20'), Sayed (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Malawi and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Egypt
24.59% ( 0.54)	30.02% ( 0.09)	45.39% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 38.43% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.27% (

0.04)

67.73% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.25% (

0.03)

85.75% (

-0.03)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.02% (

0.55)

44.98% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

0.43)

80.92% (

-0.43)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

-0.32)

30.15% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

-0.38)

66.3% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Malawi 24.59%

Egypt 45.39%

Draw 30.01%

Malawi	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.59%	0-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.01%	0-1 @ 16.26% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.24% Total : 45.39%