Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Mostafa Fathi
37'
-
Mostafa Mohamed
55'
-
Mohamed El Shenawy
90'+2'
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Gatoch Panomo
90'+5'
Egypt vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (11.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
Result
Egypt
74.97%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
17.04%
▼
(-0.07)
Ethiopia
7.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
37.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.47%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
48.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
29.35%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
70.65%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 4.5
14.22%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.13)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5
88.7%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
11.3%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
64.07%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
35.93%
▼
(-0.18)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
42.51%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
57.49%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
10.68%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
89.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Egypt
74.96%
Draw
17.04%
Ethiopia
7.99%
Egypt
2-0
@
15.44%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 14.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 74.96%
1-0 @ 14.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 74.96%
Draw
1-1
@
7.84%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.04%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.04%
Ethiopia
0-1
@
3.6%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.99%
1-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.99%