Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 74.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.36%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.