Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Valentino Yuel
21'
-
Peter Chol
90'+1'
-
Rahan Angier
4'
(OG)
-
Ablie Jallow
62'
-
Hamza Barry
90'+6'
South Sudan vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
Result
South Sudan
17.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
26.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Gambia
56.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
39.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
62.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
18.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
81.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
7.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
92.68%
▲
(+0.01)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5
50.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
49.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
15.76%
Under 1.5
84.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
77.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
22.3%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
44.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
55.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
South Sudan
17.51%
Draw
26.13%
Gambia
56.33%
South Sudan
1-0
@
7.77%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.51%
2-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.65%
0-0 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.13%
0-0 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.13%
Gambia
0-1
@
16.52%
0-2 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.33%
0-2 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.33%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
Ablie Jallow
45'+4'
-
William Emmanuel Kundu Gama
45'
-
Joseph Malish Manase
90'+1'
-
Peter Maker Manyang Mabok
90'+2'