Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).