International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2022 12.00am
Independence Stadium

Gambia vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2022 12.00am
Gambia 0 - 0 Congo DR

Liberia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 25, 2022 4.00pm
Niger 0 - 0 Liberia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Gambia 47.9% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 24.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Liberia 27.64% ▲ (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▲ (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.55% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 46.45% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 31.27% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 68.73% ▼ (-0.31)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 30.59% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 1.5 33.17% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 66.82% ▼ (-0.47)

Score analysis

Gambia 47.9%
Draw 24.45%
Liberia 27.64%
Gambia
1-0 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
Liberia
0-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.64%