Gambia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 12am UK
Independence Stadium
Liberia national football team

Gambia
C-C
Liberia

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Gambia and Liberia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Liberia

Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).

Result
GambiaDrawLiberia
47.9% (-0.283 -0.28)24.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.64% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.331 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (0.32 0.32)46.45% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (0.302 0.3)68.73% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.012 0.01)19.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.020999999999994 0.02)51.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.40000000000001 0.4)30.59% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.469 0.47)66.82% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 47.9%
    Liberia 27.64%
    Draw 24.45%
GambiaDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.64%