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Gambia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.59%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result
Gambia
19.63%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
27.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Mali
52.92%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
39.32%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.13%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
63.87%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
16.91%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
83.09%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
6.62%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
93.38%
▲
(+0.10)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
52.12%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
47.88%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
16.86%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
83.14%
▲
(+0.24)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
75.44%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
24.56%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
40.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
59.04%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Gambia
19.63%
Draw
27.45%
Mali
52.92%
Gambia
1-0
@
8.66%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.63%
2-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.63%
Draw
1-1
@
12.16%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.45%
0-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.45%
Mali
0-1
@
16.51%
▲
(+0.14)
0-2 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 52.92%
0-2 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 52.92%
