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Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
Congo national football team

South Sudan
0 - 1
Congo

FT(HT: 0-0)
Charpentier (90')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Sudan and Congo.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Congo 1-2 South Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-2 South Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Congo in this match.

Result
South SudanDrawCongo
30.17% (-0.556 -0.56)28.15% (0.088999999999999 0.09)41.68% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (-0.47 -0.47)59.72% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.361 -0.36)80.03% (0.363 0.36)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (-0.669 -0.67)35.66% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (-0.698 -0.7)72.43% (0.7 0.7)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (0.042999999999999 0.04)63.95% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 30.16%
    Congo 41.67%
    Draw 28.15%
South SudanDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 12.73% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 41.67%

How you voted: South Sudan vs Congo

South Sudan
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Congo
50.0%
18
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 4pm
Congo
1-2
South Sudan
Bifouma (90' pen.)
Makoumbou (45+2')
Chol (66'), Okello (90+6')
Maker (19'), Dhata (54'), Yuel (66'), Mawith (85'), Okello (90+7')
Maker (73')