Ethiopia national football team
Friendlies 2
Aug 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Petra Field
Guyana national football team

Ethiopia
2 - 0
Guyana

Bekele (11', 76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Ethiopia and Guyana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Guyana

All competitions
Last Game: Guyana 0-0 Montserrat
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.

Result
EthiopiaDrawGuyana
66.67% (22.706 22.71)20.54% (-1.925 -1.93)12.8% (-20.782 -20.78)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-22.569 -22.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (-16.023 -16.02)49.95% (16.022 16.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-16.154 -16.15)71.93% (16.153 16.15)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (1.993 1.99)14.11% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.27% (3.769 3.77)41.73% (-3.77 -3.77)
Guyana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.21% (-28.116 -28.12)48.79% (28.116 28.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.19% (-30.538 -30.54)83.81% (30.536 30.54)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 66.66%
    Guyana 12.8%
    Draw 20.54%
EthiopiaDrawGuyana
1-0 @ 13.48% (7.4 7.4)
2-0 @ 13.2% (7.648 7.65)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.722 0.72)
3-0 @ 8.62% (5.238 5.24)
3-1 @ 6.18% (0.856 0.86)
4-0 @ 4.22% (2.677 2.68)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.595 0.6)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-1.979 -1.98)
5-0 @ 1.65% (1.089 1.09)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.297 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.83 -0.83)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 66.66%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.88% (3.554 3.55)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-3.497 -3.5)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-4.081 -4.08)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-2.363 -2.36)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 12.8%