/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fethlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fguylog.png)
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Shimeles Bekele
11'
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Shimeles Bekele
76'
Ethiopia vs Guyana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.
Result
Ethiopia
66.67%
▲
(+22.71)
Draw
20.54%
▼
(-1.93)
Guyana
12.8%
▼
(-20.79)
Both Teams to Score:
43.98%
▼
(-22.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.05%
▼
(-16.03)
Under 2.5
49.95%
▲
(+16.03)
Over 3.5
28.07%
▼
(-16.16)
Under 3.5
71.93%
▲
(+16.16)
Over 4.5
13.36%
▼
(-12.28)
Under 4.5
86.64%
▲
(+12.28)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
85.89%
▲
(+2.00)
Under 0.5
14.11%
▼
(-2.00)
Over 1.5
58.27%
▲
(+3.77)
Under 1.5
41.73%
▼
(-3.78)
Guyana Goals
Over 0.5
51.21%
▼
(-28.12)
Under 0.5
48.79%
▲
(+28.12)
Over 1.5
16.19%
▼
(-30.54)
Under 1.5
83.81%
▲
(+30.54)
Score analysis
Ethiopia
66.66%
Draw
20.54%
Guyana
12.8%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
13.48%
▲
(+7.40)
2-0 @ 13.2% ▲ (+7.65)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.73)
3-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+5.24)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.86)
4-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+2.68)
4-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.60)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-1.98)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-54.75)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-87.72)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.83)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 66.66%
2-0 @ 13.2% ▲ (+7.65)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.73)
3-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+5.24)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.86)
4-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+2.68)
4-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.60)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-1.98)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-54.75)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-87.72)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.83)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 66.66%
Draw
1-1
@
9.67%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+3.56)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-3.50)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.54%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+3.56)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-3.50)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.54%
Guyana
0-1
@
4.94%
▼
(-0.31)
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-4.09)
0-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-2.37)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 12.8%
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-4.09)
0-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-2.37)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 12.8%