Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 9pm UK

Libya
0 - 1
Tunisia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jouini (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Libya had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
Libya	Draw	Tunisia
22.62% ( -0.33)	30.14% ( -0.15)	47.24% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 36.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.93% (

0.21)

69.07% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.37% (

0.14)

86.64% (

-0.13)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.25% (

-0.21)

47.76% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.95% (

-0.15)

83.05% (

0.16)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

0.36)

29.85% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

0.44)

65.93% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Libya 22.62%

Tunisia 47.23%

Draw 30.13%

Libya	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.62%	0-0 @ 14.25% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.13%	0-1 @ 17.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.23% Total : 47.23%