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Haythem Jouini
16'
Libya vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Libya had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Libya Goals
Tunisia Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 22.62%
1-1 @ 12.73% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.13%
0-2 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.23%