Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Australia had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Australia win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.