International Friendly

Sep 22, 2022 at 11am UK

ANZ Stadium

Australia
1 - 0
New Zealand

Mabil (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Australia 0-0 Peru (5-4 pen.)
Monday, June 13 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

New Zealand

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Costa Rica 1-0 New Zealand
Tuesday, June 14 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result
Australia	Draw	New Zealand
53.67% ( -0.38)	25.16% ( 0.04)	21.17% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 47% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.21)

54.87% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.17)

76.16% (

-0.17)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.07)

20.44% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

-0.11)

52.89% (

0.1)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

0.47)

40.92% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.51% (

0.41)

77.48% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Australia 53.66%

New Zealand 21.17%

Draw 25.16%

Australia	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.17%