International Friendlies
Sep 22, 2022 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Awer Mabil 32' goal

Australia vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 1, 2022 7.00pm
Australia 2 - 1 Jordan

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2022 4.30pm
Peru 1 - 0 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result

Australia 53.67% (-0.38)
Draw 25.16% (+0.04)
New Zealand 21.17% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

47% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.13% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 54.87% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 23.84% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 76.16% (-0.18)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 79.55% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 20.44% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 47.1% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 52.89% (+0.11)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 59.07% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 40.92% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 22.51% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 77.48% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Australia 53.66%
Draw 25.16%
New Zealand 21.17%
Australia
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.21% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.16%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 7.47% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.3% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.34% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.58% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 21.17%