Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Radès

Tunisia
4 - 0
Eq Guinea

Sliti (56'), Jaziri (77'), Msakni (80', 85')
Mejbri (32'), Yassine Khenissi (73'), Sassi (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Owono (45'), Lopez Elo (58')
Lopez Elo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

Last Six:

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Equatorial Guinea

Last Six:

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Botswana
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
42.63% ( -0.06)	24.63% ( 0)	32.75% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.24% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

-0)

44.68% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.96% (

-0)

67.04% (

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.03)

21.03% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

-0.05)

53.83% (

0.04)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.03)

26.25% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.04)

61.36% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 42.63%

Equatorial Guinea 32.75%

Draw 24.62%

Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.63%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.75%