Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 0
Libya

Msakni (12'), Maaloul (21' pen.), Jouini (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 3-1 Ethiopia
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 69.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.62%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Libya
69.65% ( 0.04)	21.36% ( 0)	8.99% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 30.84% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.86% (

-0.1)

61.14% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9% (

-0.07)

81.1% (

0.07)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.11% (

-0.02)

16.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.07% (

-0.04)

46.92% (

0.04)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.11% (

-0.15)

62.89% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.94% (

-0.07)

92.06% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 69.64%

Libya 8.99%

Draw 21.36%

Tunisia	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 18.89% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 16.79% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 69.64%	0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 8.99%