International Friendlies
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Raphinha
11'
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Richarlison
19'
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Neymar
29'
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Raphinha
40'
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Pedro
74'
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Montassar Talbi
18'
Brazil vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Result
Brazil
68.83%
▼
(-0.95)
Draw
20.68%
▼
(-0.06)
Tunisia
10.49%
▲
(+1.00)
Both Teams to Score:
36.94%
▲
(+3.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.4%
▲
(+2.44)
Under 2.5
55.59%
▼
(-2.44)
Over 3.5
23.24%
▲
(+1.96)
Under 3.5
76.76%
▼
(-1.96)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5
84.75%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 0.5
15.25%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
56.07%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 1.5
43.93%
▼
(-0.95)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5
43.59%
▲
(+3.52)
Under 0.5
56.41%
▼
(-3.52)
Over 1.5
11.29%
▲
(+1.91)
Under 1.5
88.71%
▼
(-1.91)
Score analysis
Brazil
68.82%
Draw
20.68%
Tunisia
10.49%
Brazil
1-0
@
16.17%
▼
(-1.28)
2-0 @ 15.21% ▼ (-0.92)
3-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.40)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.46)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.38)
4-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.22)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 68.82%
2-0 @ 15.21% ▼ (-0.92)
3-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.40)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.46)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.38)
4-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.22)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 68.82%
Draw
1-1
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.33)
0-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.85)
2-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.38)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.68%
0-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.85)
2-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.38)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.68%
Tunisia
0-1
@
4.93%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 10.49%
1-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 10.49%