International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Brazil
5 - 1
Tunisia

Raphinha (11', 40'), Richarlison (19'), Neymar (29' pen.), Pedro (74')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Talbi (18')

Reaction

Richarlison in action for Brazil on September 23, 2022

Richarlison has banana thrown at him during Brazil's win over Tunisia

Tottenham Hotspur attacker Richarlison has a banana thrown in his direction during Brazil's 5-1 international friendly win over Tunisia at the Parc des Princes.

Sep 28, 07:03

Brazil's Neymar celebrates scoring their third goal on September 27, 2022

Neymar closes in on Pele record as Brazil thrash Tunisia

Neymar scores international goal number 75 to move within two of Pele's all-time record as Brazil thrash Tunisia 5-1 in their final World Cup warm-up game.

Sep 27, 20:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Brazil and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's international friendly match against Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Brazil 3-0 Ghana
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Tunisia

All competitions

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Tunisia
68.83% ( -0.95)	20.68% ( -0.05)	10.49% ( 1)

Both teams to score 36.94% (

3.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.4% (

2.44)

55.59% (

-2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

1.95)

76.76% (

-1.95)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.51)

15.25% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.07% (

0.95)

43.93% (

-0.95)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.59% (

3.52)

56.41% (

-3.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.29% (

1.91)

88.71% (

-1.91)

Score Analysis

Brazil 68.82%

Tunisia 10.49%

Draw 20.68%

Brazil	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 16.17% ( -1.28) 2-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.91) 3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.47% Total : 68.82%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.49%