International Friendly

Sep 25, 2022 at 4am UK

New Zealand
0 - 2
Australia

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duke (54'), Cummings (80' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Australia 1-0 New Zealand
Thursday, September 22 at 11am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

New Zealand

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Australia 1-0 New Zealand
Thursday, September 22 at 11am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Australia had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Australia
38.58% ( -0.12)	23.35% ( 0.07)	38.07% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.99% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

-0.38)

37.61% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15% (

-0.41)

59.85% (

0.4)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.22)

19.89% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.36)

52.01% (

0.35)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.14)

20.13% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.61% (

-0.23)

52.39% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 38.58%

Australia 38.07%

Draw 23.35%

New Zealand	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 38.58%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.07%