Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Australia had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.