International Friendlies
Sep 25, 2022 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Mitchell Duke 54'
  • goal Jason Cummings 80'

New Zealand vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 11.00am
Australia 1 - 0 New Zealand

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 11.00am
Australia 1 - 0 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Australia had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

New Zealand 38.58% (-0.13)
Draw 23.35% (+0.08)
Australia 38.07% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.99% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.39% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 37.61% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 40.15% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 59.85% (+0.41)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 80.11% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 19.89% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 47.99% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 52.01% (+0.36)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 79.87% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 20.13% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 47.61% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 52.39% (+0.23)

Score analysis

New Zealand 38.58%
Draw 23.35%
Australia 38.07%
New Zealand
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.46% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.22% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 38.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.35%
Australia
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.42% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.14% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 22, 2022 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Awer Mabil 32' goal