World Cup
Nov 22, 2022 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Adrien Rabiot 27' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 32' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 68' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 71' goal
  • goal Craig Goodwin 9'

France vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Australia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Australia had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result

France 49.39% (+0.34)
Draw 26.8% (+0.07)
Australia 23.81% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.62% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 58.38% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 21.01% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 78.99% (+0.41)

France Goals

Over 0.5 76.25% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.75% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 42.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.89% (+0.10)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 59.7% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 40.3% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 23.07% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 76.93% (+0.61)

Score analysis

France 49.39%
Draw 26.8%
Australia 23.81%
France
1-0 @ 13.76% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 9.89% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.74% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.57% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.8%
Australia
0-1 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.81%

Head to Head

World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2018 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kazan Arena
  • Antoine Griezmann 58' goal
  • Aziz Behich 80' goal
  • goal Mile Jedinak 62'

Build-up

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