Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 0
Botswana

Velaphi (60' og.), Msakni (82', 90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ditsele (16'), Cooper (59'), Mohutsiwa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Botswana

Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Botswana
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Botswana
60.65% ( 0.06)	25.04% ( -0.03)	14.31% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 36.22% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.2% (

0.05)

62.8% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.68% (

0.03)

82.32% (

-0.03)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

0.04)

20.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

0.07)

53.51% (

-0.07)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.75% (

-0.02)

54.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.57% (

-0.01)

87.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 60.64%

Botswana 14.31%

Draw 25.04%

Tunisia	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 17.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 60.64%	0-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.3% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.31%