Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alford Velaphi 60' goal
  • Youssef Msakni 82' goal
  • Youssef Msakni 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lebogang Ditsele 16'
  • yellowcard Mothusi Cooper 59'
  • yellowcard Gape Mohutsiwa 90'+1'

Tunisia vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 4.00pm
Eq Guinea 1 - 0 Tunisia

Botswana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
Botswana 1 - 0 Libya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result

Tunisia 60.65% (+0.07)
Draw 25.04% (-0.04)
Botswana 14.31% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.22% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.2% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 62.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 17.68% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.32% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 7.03% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.96% (-0.02)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 79.17% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.83% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 46.49% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.51% (-0.07)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 45.75% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 54.25% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 12.57% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 87.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tunisia 60.64%
Draw 25.04%
Botswana 14.31%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 17.72% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.9% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 60.64%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02)
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.04%
Botswana
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.31%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Alford Velaphi 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferjani Sassi 51'