Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Botswana2 - 3Eq Guinea
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Botswana and Equatorial Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
19.48% ( 0.06) | 25.36% ( 0.04) | 55.16% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
