Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK

Botswana
2 - 3
Eq Guinea

Elias (38'), Seakanyeng (66' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nsue (13'), Ditsele (40' og.), Salvador (51')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Botswana and Equatorial Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
19.48% ( 0.06)	25.36% ( 0.04)	55.16% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63% (

-0.06)

57.37% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-0.05)

78.19% (

0.05)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

0.03)

44.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71% (

0.03)

80.29% (

-0.03)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.06)

20.84% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.1)

53.52% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Botswana 19.48%

Equatorial Guinea 55.15%

Draw 25.36%

Botswana	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.48%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 14.44% 0-2 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.15%